Researchers Say Some Dead Sea Scrolls May Be Older Than We Ever Realized—And It Could Rewrite Biblical History

Researchers Say Some Dead Sea Scrolls May Be Older Than We Ever Realized—And It Could Rewrite Biblical History

Some Dead Sea Scrolls May Be Older Than Originally Thought

For decades, historians believed they had a pretty good idea of when the Dead Sea Scrolls were copied. Then, in June 2025, a new scientific study challenged those assumptions. By combining radiocarbon dating with an artificial intelligence system called Enoch, researchers concluded that some of the world's oldest biblical manuscripts may have been written decades earlier than previously believed.

A researcher studying the Dead Sea ScrollsFactinate Ltd.

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A Study Years In The Making

The findings were published on June 4, 2025, in the peer-reviewed journal PLOS ONE. The international research team was led by Professor Mladen Popović, director of the Qumran Institute at the University of Groningen in the Netherlands. Their goal wasn't to discover new scrolls—it was to answer a question scholars have debated for generations: exactly when were these scrolls written?

Groningen.UniversityThis is an image of rijksmonument number 485446Information from structured data:
location of creation: Groningen→Groningen→Netherlands
depicts instance of: Academiegebouw→university building→type of building→classification scheme→variaVitold Muratov, Wikimedia Commons

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The Scrolls Didn't Need To Be Rediscovered

Unlike many archaeological breakthroughs, this one didn't begin with a shovel. The Dead Sea Scrolls were discovered between 1947 and 1956 in caves near Qumran, on the northwestern shore of the Dead Sea. Instead of finding new manuscripts, researchers returned to the existing collection armed with much better technology.

This is a photo of a monument in Jordan identified by the IDKen and Nyetta, Wikimedia Commons

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Why Dating The Scrolls Has Always Been Difficult

Most ancient manuscripts don't include a convenient date at the bottom of the page. For decades, scholars estimated the age of the scrolls mainly by studying handwriting styles, a field known as paleography. While that method has been remarkably successful, it still leaves room for interpretation.

Two scrolls from the Dead Sea Scrolls lie at their location in the Qumran Caves before being removed for scholarly examination by archaeologists.Abraham Meir Habermann, 1901–1980, Wikimedia Commons

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Enter Artificial Intelligence

The research team developed an AI model named Enoch. Rather than replacing human experts, Enoch was trained to recognize subtle handwriting patterns and compare them with manuscripts whose ages had already been confirmed through radiocarbon dating. Think of it as giving a handwriting expert an incredibly powerful digital assistant.

Part of Dead Sea Scroll number 28a (1Q28a) from Qumran Cave 1.
From Qumran (Khirbet Qumran or Wadi Qumran), West Bank of the Jordan River, near the Dead Sea, modern-day State of Israel. The Jordan Museum, Amman, Jordan Hashimite Kingdom.Osama Shukir Muhammed Amin FRCP(Glasg), Wikimedia Commons

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Carbon Dating Came First

Before the AI could begin making predictions, researchers needed reliable reference points. They carefully cleaned scroll samples to remove contaminants left behind during conservation work in the 1950s, then performed new carbon-14 dating on 30 manuscript samples, successfully dating 27 of them. Those results became the foundation for the AI model.

File:The Temple Scroll (11Q20) - Google Art Project.jpgUnknown authorUnknown author, Wikimedia Commons

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Why Cleaning The Scrolls Was So Important

Earlier radiocarbon studies had a hidden problem. Many of the scrolls had been treated with castor oil decades ago to make faded writing easier to read. Unfortunately, that treatment could affect dating results. By removing those contaminants first, researchers believed they could obtain much more accurate ages.

A photograph of the War Scroll photographed by Eric Matson of the Matson photo service.Matson Photo Service - American Colony Jerusalem, Wikimedia Commons

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The AI Was Surprisingly Accurate

After training, Enoch analyzed 135 previously undated manuscripts. According to the researchers, about 79% of the AI's proposed dates were considered realistic after review by experienced paleographers. That's an impressive success rate for manuscripts written more than two thousand years ago.

This is part of Dead Sea Scroll number 175 (4Q175), also known as Testimonia, from Qumran Cave 4. From Qumran (Khirbet Qumran or Wadi Qumran), West Bank of the Jordan River, near the Dead Sea, modern-day State of Israel. The Jordan Museum, Amman, Jordan HOsama Shukir Muhammed Amin FRCP(Glasg), Wikimedia Commons

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Some Scrolls Turned Out To Be Older

The biggest surprise was that many manuscripts appeared to be 50 to 150 years older than scholars had previously believed. That doesn't sound like much at first—but in ancient history, a century can completely change how historians understand the development of ideas and religious texts.

This is part of Dead Sea Scroll number 109 (4Q109), also known as Qohelet (Ecclesiastes). From Qumran Cave 4. From Qumran (Khirbet Qumran or Wadi Qumran), West Bank of the Jordan River, near the Dead Sea, modern-day State of Israel. The Jordan Museum, AmmOsama Shukir Muhammed Amin FRCP(Glasg), Wikimedia Commons

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The Book Of Daniel Stood Out

One of the most remarkable examples involved 4Q114, a fragment of the Book of Daniel. Earlier estimates placed its copying around the second century BCE, but the new analysis suggests it may have been written between 230 and 160 BCE—bringing it much closer to the lifetime of the book's presumed author.

Exhibit in the Oriental Institute Museum, University of Chicago, Chicago, Illinois, USA. This work is old enough so that it is in the public domain. Photography was permitted in the museum without restriction.Daderot, Wikimedia Commons

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Ecclesiastes Was Another Surprise

Researchers also found that a copy of Ecclesiastes may date much closer to the period when the book itself was composed. If correct, that would make it one of the earliest surviving copies of the text ever identified.

Dead Sea Scroll 109, Qohelet or Ecclesiastes, from Qumran Cave 4, at the Jordan Museum in AmmanOsama Shukir Muhammed Amin FRCP(Glasg), Wikimedia Commons

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Rethinking Ancient Handwriting

The study also challenged long-standing ideas about the evolution of Hebrew script. Scholars had believed that Hasmonaean handwriting gradually gave way to Herodian script. Instead, the new analysis suggests the two styles may have overlapped for decades.

The Dead Sea Scrolls are on display at the Jordan Museum in Amman, Jordan. Scroll number 28a shown here was found in Cave Qumran 1 near the Dead Sea in the occupied West Bank between 1947 and 1956.D-Stanley, Wikimedia Commons

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That Changes More Than Handwriting

This isn't just about penmanship. Dating handwriting more accurately helps historians determine when books were copied, which communities produced them, and how ideas spread across the ancient Jewish world. Every improved date strengthens the historical timeline.

Dead Sea Scroll, AmmanDavide Mauro, Wikimedia Commons

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The Bible Gets A Little Closer

Some biblical manuscripts now appear to have been copied much closer to the time when scholars believe the original books were written. That shortens the historical gap between composition and surviving copies—a detail historians find especially significant.

This is a photo of a monument in Jordan identified by the IDKen and Nyetta, Wikimedia Commons

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Meet Professor Mladen Popović

The project was led by Professor Mladen Popović, whose team has spent years applying artificial intelligence to ancient handwriting. He described the new technology as opening a new door into the ancient world and compared it to a time machine that lets researchers place ancient scribes more precisely in history.

Discovered Cave Q3 at Qumran, this is the only known inscription on metal from the Dead Sea Scrolls. This scroll consisted of 3 sheets, totaling 230 cm in length. They were rolled up and had to into 23 strips for scholars to read their content, which was Osama Shukir Muhammed Amin FRCP(Glasg), Wikimedia Commons

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Not Everyone Is Convinced

As with many groundbreaking studies, not every scholar agrees with every conclusion. Some paleographers argue that AI should remain a tool—not the final authority—and caution that traditional handwriting analysis still plays an essential role.

Cropped version of https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/File:Genesis_1_Dead_Sea_Scroll.jpg Dead Sea Scroll fragment 4Q7 with Genesis 1.User:KetefHinnomFan, Wikimedia Commons

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The Researchers Agree

Interestingly, the research team doesn't claim AI should replace experts. Instead, they see Enoch as another source of evidence that can work alongside radiocarbon dating and traditional paleography to improve accuracy.

Photographic reproduction of the Great Isaiah Scroll, the best preserved of the biblical scrolls found at Qumran. It contains the entire Book of Isaiah in Hebrew, apart from some small damaged parts. This manuscript was probably written by a scribe of thePhotographs by Ardon Bar Hama, author of original document is unknown., Wikimedia Commons

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Why The Dead Sea Scrolls Matter So Much

The Dead Sea Scrolls include the oldest surviving copies of many books of the Hebrew Bible, along with legal texts, hymns, community rules, and other Jewish writings. They've transformed our understanding of Judaism during the Second Temple period since their discovery nearly eighty years ago.

Dead Sea Scroll number 175 (4Q175), also known as Testimonia, from Qumran Cave 4; complete. From Qumran (Khirbet Qumran or Wadi Qumran), West Bank of the Jordan River, near the Dead Sea, modern-day State of Israel. On display at The Jordan Museum in AmmanOsama Shukir Muhammed Amin FRCP(Glasg), Wikimedia Commons

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One Study, Hundreds Of Manuscripts

Only a small number of scrolls were directly radiocarbon dated. The real breakthrough was using those securely dated manuscripts to estimate the ages of many more without damaging them. That dramatically expands what researchers can study in the future.

Many Dead Sea Scrolls were found rolled-up inside specific jars. The jars were made locally, in the Dead Sea area, and had tightly-fitting covers. From Qumran (Khirbet Qumran or Wadi Qumran), West Bank of the Jordan River, near the Dead Sea, modern-day StOsama Shukir Muhammed Amin FRCP(Glasg), Wikimedia Commons

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Archaeology Meets Artificial Intelligence

This study is another reminder that archaeology isn't just about digging. Sometimes the biggest breakthroughs happen in laboratories, where computers help answer questions that once seemed impossible to solve.

The Shrine of the Book in the Israel Museum, in which the findings of the Dead Sea Scrolls are kept.IPPA photographer, Wikimedia Commons

Ancient Texts Still Have New Stories To Tell

It's remarkable that manuscripts discovered almost eighty years ago can still produce major surprises. As technology improves, researchers continue extracting new information from artifacts that have been sitting in museum collections for decades.

Qumran national park, Israel.Bukvoed, Wikimedia Commons

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Could The Timeline Change Again?

Probably. The researchers expect Enoch to improve as additional manuscripts receive secure radiocarbon dates. Every new data point helps refine the model, meaning future studies could adjust the chronology even further.

Close-up of paleo-Hebrew Leviticus scroll, now at the Israel Antiquities Authority in JerusalemShai Halevi on behalf of the Israel Antiquities Authority, Wikimedia Commons

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The Scrolls Keep Rewriting History

The Dead Sea Scrolls have already reshaped biblical scholarship once. Now, thanks to artificial intelligence and improved radiocarbon dating, they may be doing it again. Even after more than seventy years of study, these ancient manuscripts are still revealing new secrets—and historians suspect they're not finished yet.

Dear Sea Scrolls at the Jordan Museum in Amman.  From Qumran (Khirbet Qumran or Wadi Qumran), West Bank of the Jordan River, near the Dead Sea, modern-day State of Israel. On display at The Jordan Museum in Amman, the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan.Osama Shukir Muhammed Amin FRCP(Glasg), Wikimedia Commons

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You May Also Like:

Recent AI analysis of the Dead Sea Scrolls reveals a new theory behind ancient biblical texts—and it changes everything we thought we knew.

Archaeologists Found A Tiny Assyrian Inscription In Jerusalem—And It Connects Directly To The Bible

Sources: 1, 2, 3, 4


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